INDICATORS – Kazakhstan – March 20

March 21, 2012

ALMATY, March 20 (Reuters) – Kazakhstan’s economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:

CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE

LATEST PREVIOUS
*Tenge/dollar 147.75 147.71
Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 7.00 7.50

MONEY

Monetary base(trln tenge) Dec 31 2.84 Nov 30 2.96
Cbank gold/forex reserves ($ bln) Feb 29 34.8 Jan 31 33.1
National fund ($bln) Feb 29 47.4 Jan 31 45.5
Money supply (M3)(trln tenge) Dec 31 9.75 Nov 30 9.61

QUARTERLY DATA

Jan-Dec’11 Jan-Dec’10 Jan-Dec’09 Jan-Dec’08
GDP (trln tenge) 27.301 21.815 17.008 16.053
GDP (pct) +7.5 +7.3 +1.2 +3.3

MONTHLY DATA

PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
Ind output (pct) Jan-Feb +2.8 +3.5 +5.6
Ind output (pct) Feb +0.4 +1.9 -1.3
Inflation (pct) Feb +0.4 +0.3 +1.5
Inflation (pct) Feb/Dec +0.7 +7.4 +3.2
Unemployment (pct) Q4 5.4 5.3 5.5
Oil production (mln T) Feb 6.5 6.9 6.4
Oil production (mln T) Jan-Feb 13.3 80.0 13.4
Copper output (’000 T) Feb 26.3 30.0 26.5
Copper output (’000 T) Jan-Feb 56.3 338.3 56.2
Zinc output (’000 T) Feb 25.5 26.8 25.5
Zinc output (’000 T) Jan-Feb 52.3 319.8 51.5
Trade balance ($ bln) Jan +5.1 +50.1 +2.1
Exports ($ bln) Jan 8.3 99.1 3.8
Imports ($ bln) Jan 2.7 38.0 1.7

FORECASTS FOR 2012

GDP growth (pct) 6.0
Annual inflation (pct) 6.0-8.0
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) 758.5/2.6
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 4,626
Budget spending (bln tenge) 5,253
Industrial output (pct) 3.9
Oil and condensate output (mln T) 81.0
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 13-15

ANNUAL COMPARISONS

2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
GDP +7.5 +7.3 +1.2 +3.2 +8.9 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3
Ind output (pct) +3.5 +10.0 +1.7 +2.1 +4.5 +7.0 +4.6 +10.1 +8.8
Inflation (pct) +7.4 +7.8 +6.2 +9.5 +18.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8
Yr-end M3 (trln tenge) n/a 8.55 7.49 6.27 4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00
Yr-end unemployment (pct) n/a 5.5 6.6 6.7 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 27.0 12.2 20.8 15.6 20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8
Oil and gas condensate output (mln T) 80.0 79.5 76.4 70.7 67.1 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5
Copper output (’000 T) 338 323 368 398 406 428 419 446 433

KAZAKHSTAN’S LONG-TERM RATINGS

S&P (Nov 7, 2011) BBB+ stable outlook
Moody’s (Apr 5, 2010) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Nov 21, 2011) BBB positive

outlook

State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,

Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/,

Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng